Measuring the Right Thing

Blog post description.

AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE

6/14/20252 min read

black blue and yellow textile
black blue and yellow textile

➡️This article is the 2nd in the Six Questions Each City Needs to Ask series.

Define PVR, simply

Passenger miles are the benefit to society; and vehicle miles are the cost to society*.

PVR measures the overall efficiency* of the mobility system.

Measure PVR

Basic stats in the US:

  • PVR for private light-duty vehicles: 1.5-1.7

  • PVR for UBER/Lyft (excluding driver mileage): 0.45-0.65

AVs could make it worse—picture this: in downtown Manhattan, parking costs $25 for 30 minutes, and running an AV costs pennies. What will AVs do? They’ll circulate the blocks—empty.

All mobility providers should report PVR regularly.

Increase PVR

Reducing congestion requires increasing PVR. Three ways to do so

  • Cut the ghost miles

Reduce deadheading with better algorithms for matching and routing.

More importantly, empty AVs cruising dense downtown need to pay their fair share.

  • Increase ride sharing

UberPool and LyftLine both tried and failed.

They could not find a price low enough to attract riders and high enough to make money.

Sharing penalty" is too high.

COVID-19 became the perfect excuse to stop trying.

  • Support Public transit

It remains the ultimate ride sharing mode—with the highest PVR.

Physics vs. Psychology

Pooling rides isn’t just a technical puzzle. It’s a social one.

The physics we’ve mastered:

When two trips have close time windows, and their origins and destinations are nearby, we can pool them.

It is a complex but well-defined mathematical problem. And we know how to solve it.

In fact, the same algorithms used to pool people (ride-sharing) are used to pool packages (food delivery).

The brilliance of mathematics: Once solved, it applies universally.

But treating boxes and people the same way? Clearly, something’s missing.

The psychology is harder:

Sharing a ride with a stranger is much more than travel time and travel cost—it is a social endeavor.

People aren’t packages. They have preferences, fears, and biases.

Some enjoy the encounter while others feel uncomfortable.

Like any public or semi-public space, when people interact, amazing things happen—and ugly things happen too (safety concerns, social prejudices, etc.).

And let’s face it: Americans don’t like to share rides.

  • The rosy view:

Pair an entrepreneur with an angel investor,

An art historian with a science fiction writer,

An electrician with a home buyer…

Or, may I dare? A Republican and a Democrat in the same ride.

See “Mobility sharing as a preference matching problem” (full paper)

Carpooling can be optimized to promote social integration across diverse groups—extending its benefits beyond just efficiency and environment.

See “Carpooling for social mixing” (full paper)

  • The realistic view:

The fear of negative interactions outweighs the hope for positive ones.

See “To Share or Not To Share: Investigating the Social Aspects of Dynamic Ridesharing” (full paper)

While utilitarian factors (cost, convenience, availability) drive initial adoption, discriminatory attitudes remain an obstacle to long-term engagement with shared mobility.

See “Rider-to-rider discriminatory attitudes and ridesharing behavior” (full paper)

What do you think? Will AVs change the psychology of sharing? Or just automate the loneliness?

More in the next article...

#AutonomousVehicles #UrbanMobility #TransportationPolicy

References:

  • Morales Sarriera, J., Escovar Álvarez, G., Blynn, K., Alesbury, A., Scully, T., & Zhao, J. (2017). "To Share or Not To Share: Investigating the Social Aspects of Dynamic Ridesharing." Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board, 2605, 109–117.

  • Librino, F., Renda, M. E., Santi, P., Martelli, F., Resta, G., Duarte, F., ... & Zhao, J. (2020). Home-work carpooling for social mixing. Transportation, 47, 2671-2701.

  • Zhang, H., & Zhao, J. (2018). Mobility sharing as a preference matching problem. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 20(7), 2584-2592.

  • Moody, J., Middleton, S., & Zhao, J. (2019). Rider-to-rider discriminatory attitudes and ridesharing behavior. Transportation Research Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour, 62, 258-273.